Regarding Vista

There are a lot of articles around about the failure of Vista in China and slow demand, while other articles cite Microsoft saying that Vista sells as well as XP did when it came out.

Vista does not do as well as XP did. And the reason is not because Vista is not a good operating system, but because XP does the job. The power users already sailed away to OSX and Linux, while the “normal” users found a Microsoft OS that does what they always wanted (XP) and so they don’t see any reason to move on.

Vista won’t be a disaster for Microsoft, but it won’t be a huge success either. Speaking for myself, remember the Vista laptop I bought a month ago? I received the laptop Monday, I tried Vista that Monday afternoon, and since then I haven’t even rebooted to it from its Linux partition. Not even just to check if it’s still there.


billg wrote on April 21st, 2007 at 9:31 AM PST:

Consumer operating systems seem to have reached a threshhold level of acceptabililty and maturity. It’s unlikely that anyone is going to release something so revolutionary that it triggers sales/adoption rates like we used to see. So, as you note, the best reason not to buy Vista is its predecessor.

schwaang wrote on April 22nd, 2007 at 1:03 AM PST:

I agree w/ Eugenia, since upgrading from XP to Vista is not nearly the win that upgrading from 98 to XP was. Without upgraders, MS is left with the usual new system buyers. And despite the recent hype over Dell wanting to keep XP alive, most non-corporate buyers will go with Vista.

But I played with the speech recognition in Vista for about half an hour, and that’s one of the few areas that really benefit from Vista’s beefy hardware requirements.

The unrealized potential for speech recognition is easy to overlook because it’s been “just over the horizon” for decades now. (Remember ST:First Contact in ‘96 w/ Scotty speaking into a Mac mouse: “Computer!”. The painful irony there is that Apple used to employ Kai-Fu Lee, of CMU Sphynx fame.)

But now we’re starting to see speech-enabled website development (not deployment yet). Between that and whatever MS has cobbled together to allow apps to register their speech-enabled bits, I have allowed myself a small amount of hope that desktop UI is still inching forward.

If that was totally incoherent, I blame the late-afternoon cappuccino. Cheers.

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